Chris JL
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 1,766
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March 2017
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by Chris JL on Oct 16, 2018 22:05:48 GMT 1, Or maybe there are so many submissions that none of us on UAA has scored ๐ฑ
PS not on eBay yet, so still some hope - like one in 50000...
Or maybe there are so many submissions that none of us on UAA has scored ๐ฑ
PS not on eBay yet, so still some hope - like one in 50000...
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The Observer
New Member
๐จ๏ธ 317
๐๐ป 183
February 2017
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by The Observer on Oct 16, 2018 22:21:35 GMT 1, Perhaps noon PST might be a time for them to send notifications since they do most realeases at that time. Only a few minutes away... But most of their releases are at noon CST.ย
You are right. Wishful thinking got me...haha
Perhaps noon PST might be a time for them to send notifications since they do most realeases at that time. Only a few minutes away... But most of their releases are at noon CST.ย You are right. Wishful thinking got me...haha |
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moron
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 2,711
๐๐ป 1,051
September 2017
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by moron on Oct 16, 2018 22:27:55 GMT 1, has Fairey done a Stormy Daniels yet?
has Fairey done a Stormy Daniels yet?
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moron
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 2,711
๐๐ป 1,051
September 2017
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by moron on Oct 16, 2018 23:09:29 GMT 1, Fairey and his social justice democrat virtue signalling appeals to some but he does a dis service to women and real issues regarding their freedom.
Fairey and his social justice democrat virtue signalling appeals to some but he does a dis service to women and real issues regarding their freedom. |
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Chris JL
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 1,766
๐๐ป 1,852
March 2017
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by Chris JL on Oct 16, 2018 23:11:17 GMT 1, Moron on a roll - where is shy when you need him?
Moron on a roll - where is shy when you need him? |
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NYart
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 1,221
๐๐ป 844
January 2016
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by NYart on Oct 17, 2018 0:05:36 GMT 1, 
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Fะฏ
Full Member
๐จ๏ธ 8,264
๐๐ป 9,252
May 2013
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by Fะฏ on Oct 17, 2018 9:14:44 GMT 1, So has this been drawn now or not
So has this been drawn now or not
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caruso
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 1,181
๐๐ป 818
August 2017
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by caruso on Oct 17, 2018 10:22:25 GMT 1, As a matter of fact I'd buy if he did, it just to make a statement.
As a matter of fact I'd buy if he did, it just to make a statement.
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caruso
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 1,181
๐๐ป 818
August 2017
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by caruso on Oct 17, 2018 10:23:02 GMT 1, So has this been drawn now or not
So has this been drawn now or not Have you checked your 100 email accounts yet? |
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Fะฏ
Full Member
๐จ๏ธ 8,264
๐๐ป 9,252
May 2013
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by Fะฏ on Oct 17, 2018 10:29:26 GMT 1, So has this been drawn now or not Have you checked your 100 email accounts yet?
you can add 2000 to that figure
So has this been drawn now or not Have you checked your 100 email accounts yet? you can add 2000 to that figure |
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butterknife
New Member
๐จ๏ธ 78
๐๐ป 49
March 2018
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by butterknife on Oct 17, 2018 12:42:04 GMT 1, Hopefully we will hear something today. Good luck all!
Hopefully we will hear something today. Good luck all!
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Chris JL
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 1,766
๐๐ป 1,852
March 2017
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by Chris JL on Oct 17, 2018 15:53:38 GMT 1, So has this been drawn now or not
Check under your stash of Peckham rocks ๐
So has this been drawn now or not Check under your stash of Peckham rocks ๐ |
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Whitefish
Artist
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 2,251
๐๐ป 2,455
February 2015
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by Whitefish on Oct 17, 2018 16:51:14 GMT 1, With in a 24hr period OBEY received over 5,000,000 entries for the raffle
The majority were bots....
Around 12,000 legit entries for the raffle
With in a 24hr period OBEY received over 5,000,000 entries for the raffle
The majority were bots....
Around 12,000 legit entries for the raffle
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mushi
New Member
๐จ๏ธ 384
๐๐ป 396
November 2017
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by mushi on Oct 17, 2018 16:56:13 GMT 1, With in a 24hr period OBEY received over 5,000,000 entries for the raffle The majority were bots.... Around 12,000 legit entries for the raffle
Impressive, thanks for sharing.
Glad he could sort legit emails from bots ones.
With in a 24hr period OBEY received over 5,000,000 entries for the raffle The majority were bots.... Around 12,000 legit entries for the raffle Impressive, thanks for sharing. Glad he could sort legit emails from bots ones. |
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by Happy Shopper on Oct 17, 2018 17:02:07 GMT 1, With in a 24hr period OBEY received over 5,000,000 entries for the raffle The majority were bots.... Around 12,000 legit entries for the raffle Impressive, thanks for sharing. Glad he could sort legit emails from bots ones.
I guess they simply deleted any address that wasn't a real name, or at least looked like proper words... not just letters and numbers, and all very similar looking.
With in a 24hr period OBEY received over 5,000,000 entries for the raffle The majority were bots.... Around 12,000 legit entries for the raffle Impressive, thanks for sharing. Glad he could sort legit emails from bots ones. I guess they simply deleted any address that wasn't a real name, or at least looked like proper words... not just letters and numbers, and all very similar looking. |
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Paname
New Member
๐จ๏ธ 509
๐๐ป 254
October 2013
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by Paname on Oct 17, 2018 17:27:47 GMT 1, fuck my adress "raffle@live.com" is considered to a bot ?
fuck my adress "raffle@live.com" is considered to a bot ?
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cest
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 1,725
๐๐ป 1,160
September 2018
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by cest on Oct 17, 2018 17:35:52 GMT 1, Yay. (1/45)/12k chance
Yay. (1/45)/12k chance
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cest
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 1,725
๐๐ป 1,160
September 2018
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by cest on Oct 17, 2018 17:50:59 GMT 1, f**kmy adress "raffle@live.com" is considered to a bot ?
Do you know for sure it is deleted?
f**kmy adress "raffle@live.com" is considered to a bot ? Do you know for sure it is deleted? |
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Art Fan 2011
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 4,671
๐๐ป 1,952
February 2012
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by Art Fan 2011 on Oct 17, 2018 18:08:08 GMT 1, Wonder how they determine an address entered by a BOT to that of what entered by a human? Bet plenty of people will of been deleted in error!
5,000,000 is pretty epic though, must of taken Shep ages to go through that lot with a pen picking out dodgy ones
Wonder how they determine an address entered by a BOT to that of what entered by a human? Bet plenty of people will of been deleted in error!
5,000,000 is pretty epic though, must of taken Shep ages to go through that lot with a pen picking out dodgy ones
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Dive Jedi
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 6,194
๐๐ป 9,453
October 2015
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by Dive Jedi on Oct 17, 2018 18:27:05 GMT 1, Wonder how they determine an address entered by a BOT to that of what entered by a human? Bet plenty of people will of been deleted in error! 5,000,000 is pretty epic though, must of taken Shep ages to go through that lot with a pen picking out dodgy ones
It's a lot easier to do a draw of 20 or 30 people and check thoseโฆ..
Wonder how they determine an address entered by a BOT to that of what entered by a human? Bet plenty of people will of been deleted in error! 5,000,000 is pretty epic though, must of taken Shep ages to go through that lot with a pen picking out dodgy ones Would be rather unefficient to first go through 5.000.000 registration. And then do a draw. It's a lot easier to do a draw of 20 or 30 people and check thoseโฆ.. |
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Chris JL
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 1,766
๐๐ป 1,852
March 2017
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by Chris JL on Oct 17, 2018 18:50:54 GMT 1,
Not really. The probability of being picked is (assuming 45 available) is: 1 -(1- 1/12000)^45 i.e. about 0.37% ๐
Not really. The probability of being picked is (assuming 45 available) is: 1 -(1- 1/12000)^45 i.e. about 0.37% ๐ |
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cest
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 1,725
๐๐ป 1,160
September 2018
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by cest on Oct 17, 2018 18:54:33 GMT 1, Not really. The probability of being picked is (assuming 45 available) is: 1 -(1- 1/12000)^45 i.e. about 0.37% ๐
You and your math. The odds do feel better though:-)
Not really. The probability of being picked is (assuming 45 available) is: 1 -(1- 1/12000)^45 i.e. about 0.37% ๐ You and your math. The odds do feel better though:-) |
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Chris JL
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 1,766
๐๐ป 1,852
March 2017
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by Chris JL on Oct 17, 2018 19:13:27 GMT 1, Wonder how they determine an address entered by a BOT to that of what entered by a human? Bet plenty of people will of been deleted in error! 5,000,000 is pretty epic though, must of taken Shep ages to go through that lot with a pen picking out dodgy ones Would be rather unefficient to first go through 5.000.000 registration. And then do a draw. It's a lot easier to do a draw of 20 or 30 people and check thoseโฆ..
Filtering 5M emails (even with IP and time stamp of submissions) would take 10-20 mins of coding and a few minutes of running time (divided by the number of cores if parallelised).
Given the ratio, the probability of picking one non bot email in a draw is about 2.4%, so tons of draws needed to get to 45 good ones. Also, this is an algorithm more messy to parallelise.
Baseline: the pre-filtering is easily more efficient computation wise.
Wonder how they determine an address entered by a BOT to that of what entered by a human? Bet plenty of people will of been deleted in error! 5,000,000 is pretty epic though, must of taken Shep ages to go through that lot with a pen picking out dodgy ones Would be rather unefficient to first go through 5.000.000 registration. And then do a draw. It's a lot easier to do a draw of 20 or 30 people and check thoseโฆ.. Filtering 5M emails (even with IP and time stamp of submissions) would take 10-20 mins of coding and a few minutes of running time (divided by the number of cores if parallelised). Given the ratio, the probability of picking one non bot email in a draw is about 2.4%, so tons of draws needed to get to 45 good ones. Also, this is an algorithm more messy to parallelise. Baseline: the pre-filtering is easily more efficient computation wise. |
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Dive Jedi
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 6,194
๐๐ป 9,453
October 2015
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by Dive Jedi on Oct 17, 2018 19:16:20 GMT 1, Not really. The probability of being picked is (assuming 45 available) is: 1 -(1- 1/12000)^45 i.e. about 0.37% ๐
Not really. The probability of being picked is (assuming 45 available) is: 1 -(1- 1/12000)^45 i.e. about 0.37% ๐ x the number of email-adresses submittedโฆ. |
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Chris JL
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 1,766
๐๐ป 1,852
March 2017
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by Chris JL on Oct 17, 2018 19:27:42 GMT 1, Not really. The probability of being picked is (assuming 45 available) is: 1 -(1- 1/12000)^45 i.e. about 0.37% ๐ x the number of email-adresses submittedโฆ.
Almost. And note that if you submitted N email you might get 1 or more. The probability of getting at least one, given N email addresses submitted is:
1 -((1- 1/12000)^45)^N (basically 1 minus the prob of getting zero).
I.e letโs say you submitted three emails in your household (like in mine), the probability of winning something is 1.12%
Sorry the super geekiness - professional deformation ๐
Not really. The probability of being picked is (assuming 45 available) is: 1 -(1- 1/12000)^45 i.e. about 0.37% ๐ x the number of email-adresses submittedโฆ. Almost. And note that if you submitted N email you might get 1 or more. The probability of getting at least one, given N email addresses submitted is: 1 -((1- 1/12000)^45)^N (basically 1 minus the prob of getting zero). I.e letโs say you submitted three emails in your household (like in mine), the probability of winning something is 1.12% Sorry the super geekiness - professional deformation ๐ |
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Dive Jedi
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 6,194
๐๐ป 9,453
October 2015
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by Dive Jedi on Oct 17, 2018 19:34:17 GMT 1, x the number of email-adresses submittedโฆ. Almost. And note that if you submitted N email you might get 1 or more. The probability of getting at least one, given N email addresses submitted is: 1 -((1- 1/12000)^45)^N (basically 1 minus the prob of getting zero). I.e letโs say you submitted three emails in your household (like in mine), the probability of winning something is 1.12% Sorry the super geekiness - professional deformation ๐
x the number of email-adresses submittedโฆ. Almost. And note that if you submitted N email you might get 1 or more. The probability of getting at least one, given N email addresses submitted is: 1 -((1- 1/12000)^45)^N (basically 1 minus the prob of getting zero). I.e letโs say you submitted three emails in your household (like in mine), the probability of winning something is 1.12% Sorry the super geekiness - professional deformation ๐ Oh, I thought this was common knowledgeโฆ. |
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NYart
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 1,221
๐๐ป 844
January 2016
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by NYart on Oct 17, 2018 20:18:26 GMT 1, Winners have been notified, obey IG followed up with me asking yesterday
Winners have been notified, obey IG followed up with me asking yesterday
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cest
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 1,725
๐๐ป 1,160
September 2018
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by cest on Oct 17, 2018 20:36:00 GMT 1, Damn, i really wanted one
Damn, i really wanted one
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Chris JL
Junior Member
๐จ๏ธ 1,766
๐๐ป 1,852
March 2017
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by Chris JL on Oct 17, 2018 20:50:45 GMT 1, ๐...๐... ๐... ๐ข... ๐ญ... ๐บ
๐...๐... ๐... ๐ข... ๐ญ... ๐บ
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mushi
New Member
๐จ๏ธ 384
๐๐ป 396
November 2017
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Shepard Fairey ๐บ๐ธ New Print Release โข For Sale โข Wanted, by mushi on Oct 17, 2018 21:03:02 GMT 1, Unlucky also :/
Unlucky also :/
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